Correlations With Voting New Zealand First in 2020

VariableVoting New Zealand First 2020
Voting Advance NZ 20200.706
Personal income $10,000-$20,0000.639
Divorced/separated/widowed0.638
Level 4 certificate0.623
Personal income $20,000-$30,0000.605
Four children0.598
Level 1 certificate0.593
Voting ONE Party 20200.584
Receiving income from ACC or private work insurance0.574
Three children0.549
Percentage of electorate New Zealand-born0.546
No NZQA qualifications0.513
Voting Social Credit 20200.503
Level 2 certificate0.491
Receiving income from NZ Super or Veteran’s pension0.469
Five children0.455
Aged 65-690.448
Not in the labour force0.442
Median age0.440
Aged 60-640.439
Aged 55-590.438
Working in agriculture, forestry or fishing0.437
Aged 70-740.427
Mean age0.417
Own or part own house0.390
Aged 75-790.388
Voting ALCP 20200.381
Object to answering how many children0.368
Level 5 diploma0.368
Following a Maori religion0.363
Working as a labourer0.360
Following Spiritualism or a New Age religion0.349
Working in healthcare or social assistance0.338
Receiving income from Jobseeker Support0.336
Working in electricity, gas, water or waste services0.326
Voting NZ Outdoors Party 20200.325
Maori0.319
Six or more children0.318
Aged 80-840.313
Working as a community or personal services worker0.311
Working in other services0.309
Working in construction0.290
Voting New Conservative 20200.287
Working as a technician or trades worker0.278
European0.274
Receiving income from Supported Living Payment0.246
Receiving income from Sole Parent Support0.238
Not studying0.237
Aged 85+0.194
Following no religion0.183
Voting ACT 20200.181
Employed part-time0.180
Working in mining0.179
Currently partnered0.178
Aged 50-540.176
Working as a machinery operator or driver0.167
Personal income $30,000-$50,0000.149
Unemployed0.144
Receiving income from self-employment or owning one’s own business0.143
Two children0.137
Enrolled in a North Island electorate0.105
Working as a manager0.105
Turnout rate0.101
Working in manufacturing0.091
Enrolled in a Maori electorate0.081
Voting National 20200.068
Working in retail trade0.068
Voting Maori Party 20200.066
Voting Labour 20200.059
Voting Heartland NZ 20200.054
Voting Vision NZ Party 20200.033
Married (not separated)0.021
Working in education or training0.019
Percentage of females in electorate0.001
Working in public administration or safety0.001
Level 6 diploma-0.001
Percentage of males in electorate-0.001
Own house in family trust-0.032
Working in transport, postal or warehousing-0.033
Percentage of voting age population enrolled-0.043
Following Christianity-0.092
Aged 45-49-0.095
Voting Sustainable NZ 2020-0.106
Level 3 certificate-0.128
Receiving income from interest, dividends, rent, other investments-0.129
Working in rental, hiring or real estate services-0.150
Working in arts or recreation services-0.151
Personal income $5,000-$10,000-0.151
Working in accommodation or food services-0.161
Voting The Opportunities Party 2020-0.168
Currently unpartnered-0.178
Pacific Islander-0.184
Special voting Yes for cannabis-0.207
Full-time study-0.216
Never married-0.233
Voting Greens 2020-0.244
Working in administrative or support services-0.248
Working as a clerical or administrative worker-0.275
Special voting Yes for euthanasia-0.275
Receiving income from Student Allowance-0.313
Neither ownership of house nor house in family trust-0.317
Working as a sales worker-0.320
Part-time study-0.324
Doctorate-0.337
One child-0.339
Personal income $50,000-$70,000-0.343
Receiving no source of income-0.356
Personal income < $5,000-0.362
Following Judaism-0.366
Mean personal income-0.381
Working in wholesale trade-0.389
Aged 40-44-0.395
Personal income $70,000+-0.403
Following Hinduism-0.408
Working as a professional-0.414
Voting TEA Party 2020-0.416
Enrolled in an urban electorate-0.431
Following Islam-0.433
Aged 20-24-0.436
Median personal income-0.444
Working in information media or telecommunications-0.454
Honours degree-0.463
Aged 25-29-0.469
Working in professional, scientific or technical services-0.498
Working in financial or insurance services-0.498
Aged 30-34-0.500
Master’s degree-0.502
Employed full-time-0.505
No children-0.518
Percentage of electorate overseas-born-0.546
Following Buddhism-0.549
Asian-0.552
Bachelor’s degree-0.554
Aged 35-39-0.572
Receiving wage or salary-0.612

*

This table is an excerpt from the upcoming 3rd Edition of Understanding New Zealand, by Dan McGlashan and published by VJM Publishing. Understanding New Zealand is the comprehensive guide to the demographics and voting patterns of the New Zealand people.

Correlations With Voting ACT 2020

VariableVoting ACT 2020
Voting National 20200.922
Receiving income from self-employment or owning one’s own business0.833
Working as a manager0.815
Own house in family trust0.810
Turnout rate0.807
Currently partnered0.807
Aged 60-640.793
Level 6 diploma0.788
Aged 55-590.782
Aged 65-690.767
Aged 70-740.759
Two children0.758
Receiving income from interest, dividends, rent, other investments0.751
Aged 75-790.745
Married (not separated)0.742
European0.738
Aged 50-540.733
Receiving income from NZ Super or Veteran’s pension0.724
Voting New Conservative 20200.680
Aged 80-840.679
Not studying0.672
Own or part own house0.665
Aged 85+0.626
Aged 45-490.575
Three children0.561
Median age0.542
Voting Sustainable NZ 20200.536
Mean age0.529
Employed part-time0.497
Working in rental, hiring or real estate services0.470
Working in agriculture, forestry or fishing0.429
Voting NZ Outdoors Party 20200.386
Following no religion0.365
Divorced/separated/widowed0.355
Personal income $70,000+0.343
Voting Social Credit 20200.305
Percentage of voting age population enrolled0.285
Personal income $50,000-$70,0000.278
Mean personal income0.227
Personal income $20,000-$30,0000.222
Level 1 certificate0.205
Median personal income0.199
Working in mining0.196
Voting The Opportunities Party 20200.184
Voting New Zealand First 20200.181
Special voting Yes for euthanasia0.174
Honours degree0.156
Aged 40-440.154
Following Judaism0.144
Not in the labour force0.140
Voting Heartland NZ 20200.119
Working in construction0.111
Doctorate0.105
Working in other services0.096
Level 4 certificate0.090
Working as a technician or trades worker0.078
Percentage of males in electorate0.066
Working in professional, scientific or technical services0.063
Following Spiritualism or a New Age religion0.055
Level 2 certificate0.051
Working in retail trade0.032
Bachelor’s degree0.031
Master’s degree0.027
Level 5 diploma0.021
Voting Advance NZ 20200.018
Receiving income from ACC or private work insurance0.014
Employed full-time0.012
Percentage of electorate overseas-born0.010
Working in arts or recreation services0.009
Working as a professional0.001
Four children-0.009
Percentage of electorate New Zealand-born-0.010
Following Christianity-0.026
Working in financial or insurance services-0.036
Working in wholesale trade-0.054
Percentage of females in electorate-0.066
Personal income $30,000-$50,000-0.073
Working in healthcare or social assistance-0.075
Voting Greens 2020-0.076
Working in accommodation or food services-0.080
Voting TEA Party 2020-0.082
Voting ONE Party 2020-0.097
Working in electricity, gas, water or waste services-0.097
No NZQA qualifications-0.117
Voting Labour 2020-0.120
Following Buddhism-0.124
Working as a labourer-0.142
Working in education or training-0.147
Working in manufacturing-0.154
Personal income $10,000-$20,000-0.169
Asian-0.197
Working in information media or telecommunications-0.213
Aged 35-39-0.216
Working in public administration or safety-0.221
Working as a clerical or administrative worker-0.229
Enrolled in an urban electorate-0.231
Enrolled in a North Island electorate-0.235
One child-0.340
No children-0.341
Aged 30-34-0.341
Following Hinduism-0.356
Working as a sales worker-0.379
Following Islam-0.387
Five children-0.399
Working as a machinery operator or driver-0.426
Special voting Yes for cannabis-0.430
Aged 25-29-0.437
Working as a community or personal services worker-0.458
Receiving wage or salary-0.459
Part-time study-0.463
Voting ALCP 2020-0.476
Following a Maori religion-0.495
Receiving income from Student Allowance-0.498
Object to answering how many children-0.503
Aged 20-24-0.512
Receiving no source of income-0.542
Personal income $5,000-$10,000-0.565
Pacific Islander-0.575
Working in transport, postal or warehousing-0.577
Six or more children-0.577
Maori-0.580
Receiving income from Supported Living Payment-0.591
Voting Vision NZ Party 2020-0.600
Enrolled in a Maori electorate-0.630
Personal income < $5,000-0.640
Voting Maori Party 2020-0.641
Working in administrative or support services-0.645
Full-time study-0.661
Level 3 certificate-0.661
Receiving income from Jobseeker Support-0.716
Receiving income from Sole Parent Support-0.726
Never married-0.775
Currently unpartnered-0.807
Neither ownership of house nor house in family trust-0.838
Unemployed-0.840

*

This table is an excerpt from the upcoming 3rd Edition of Understanding New Zealand, by Dan McGlashan and published by VJM Publishing. Understanding New Zealand is the comprehensive guide to the demographics and voting patterns of the New Zealand people.

Correlations With Voting National 2020

VariableVoting National in 2020
Voting ACT 20200.922
Married (not separated)0.857
Currently partnered0.814
Own house in family trust0.813
Two children0.810
Level 6 diploma0.798
Working as a manager0.780
Receiving income from self-employment or owning one’s own business0.743
Receiving income from interest, dividends, rent, other investments0.713
Aged 60-640.696
Aged 75-790.694
Turnout rate0.692
Aged 50-540.685
Voting New Conservative 20200.682
Aged 70-740.678
Aged 55-590.668
Aged 65-690.666
Aged 80-840.661
Not studying0.650
Receiving income from NZ Super or Veteran’s pension0.638
Aged 85+0.629
Aged 45-490.584
Own or part own house0.564
Working in rental, hiring or real estate services0.539
European0.525
Voting Sustainable NZ 20200.500
Three children0.457
Median age0.418
Personal income $70,000+0.406
Percentage of voting age population enrolled0.398
Mean age0.388
Personal income $50,000-$70,0000.324
Employed part-time0.266
Working in agriculture, forestry or fishing0.248
Mean personal income0.243
Divorced/separated/widowed0.242
Percentage of electorate overseas-born0.235
Median personal income0.231
Aged 40-440.221
Voting TEA Party 20200.206
Voting NZ Outdoors Party 20200.204
Honours degree0.200
Not in the labour force0.199
Voting Social Credit 20200.193
Working in wholesale trade0.172
Following Judaism0.169
Special voting Yes for euthanasia0.168
Working in professional, scientific or technical services0.166
Bachelor’s degree0.162
Following no religion0.156
Voting Heartland NZ 20200.135
Working in mining0.133
Working in other services0.129
Working in retail trade0.120
Following Buddhism0.118
Working in financial or insurance services0.114
Master’s degree0.111
Voting The Opportunities Party 20200.105
Following Christianity0.102
Working as a professional0.088
Asian0.074
Doctorate0.072
Voting New Zealand First 20200.068
Working in construction0.068
Personal income $20,000-$30,0000.066
Working as a technician or trades worker0.053
Level 1 certificate0.044
Employed full-time0.035
Percentage of females in electorate0.021
Level 5 diploma0.006
Working as a clerical or administrative worker-0.006
Percentage of males in electorate-0.021
Enrolled in a North Island electorate-0.031
Aged 35-39-0.045
Level 4 certificate-0.047
Working in healthcare or social assistance-0.070
Enrolled in an urban electorate-0.079
Working in electricity, gas, water or waste services-0.099
Working in manufacturing-0.100
One child-0.105
Four children-0.106
Working in arts or recreation services-0.109
Working in information media or telecommunications-0.126
Level 2 certificate-0.129
Voting Advance NZ 2020-0.130
Working in education or training-0.132
Following Hinduism-0.138
Personal income $30,000-$50,000-0.146
Following Spiritualism or a New Age religion-0.159
Voting Labour 2020-0.160
Voting Greens 2020-0.162
Voting ONE Party 2020-0.174
Working as a sales worker-0.180
Receiving income from ACC or private work insurance-0.183
Working in accommodation or food services-0.191
Following Islam-0.194
No NZQA qualifications-0.217
Percentage of electorate New Zealand-born-0.235
Aged 30-34-0.253
Working in public administration or safety-0.259
Receiving no source of income-0.282
Personal income $10,000-$20,000-0.286
Working as a labourer-0.291
No children-0.337
Aged 25-29-0.391
Working as a machinery operator or driver-0.425
Personal income < $5,000-0.450
Five children-0.450
Pacific Islander-0.458
Receiving wage or salary-0.465
Receiving income from Student Allowance-0.479
Aged 20-24-0.484
Special voting Yes for cannabis-0.494
Part-time study-0.499
Working in transport, postal or warehousing-0.516
Following a Maori religion-0.543
Object to answering how many children-0.573
Personal income $5,000-$10,000-0.575
Working in administrative or support services-0.583
Six or more children-0.589
Voting ALCP 2020-0.597
Voting Vision NZ Party 2020-0.601
Working as a community or personal services worker-0.612
Full-time study-0.634
Maori-0.651
Receiving income from Supported Living Payment-0.659
Level 3 certificate-0.683
Enrolled in a Maori electorate-0.705
Voting Maori Party 2020-0.709
Receiving income from Sole Parent Support-0.754
Neither ownership of house nor house in family trust-0.754
Receiving income from Jobseeker Support-0.759
Currently unpartnered-0.814
Unemployed-0.820
Never married-0.839

*

This article is an excerpt from the upcoming 3rd Edition of Understanding New Zealand, by Dan McGlashan and published by VJM Publishing. Understanding New Zealand is the comprehensive guide to the demographics and voting patterns of the New Zealand people.

Correlations With Turnout Rate In 2020

VariableTurnout rate in 2020
European0.833
Receiving income from interest, dividends, rent, other investments0.825
Voting ACT 20200.807
Level 6 diploma0.734
Voting National 20200.692
Receiving income from self-employment or owning one’s own business0.682
Own or part own house0.679
Aged 55-590.674
Aged 60-640.655
Aged 75-790.654
Aged 70-740.653
Aged 85+0.647
Aged 65-690.641
Aged 80-840.639
Receiving income from NZ Super or Veteran’s pension0.636
Aged 50-540.630
Voting The Opportunities Party 20200.625
Own house in family trust0.623
Not studying0.587
Currently partnered0.572
Working as a manager0.562
Two children0.560
Aged 45-490.541
Voting Sustainable NZ 20200.529
Voting New Conservative 20200.524
Employed part-time0.523
Married (not separated)0.493
Following no religion0.482
Personal income $70,000+0.453
Mean age0.441
Honours degree0.419
Doctorate0.416
Median age0.404
Voting Greens 20200.385
Special voting Yes for euthanasia0.366
Voting Social Credit 20200.338
Three children0.337
Following Spiritualism or a New Age religion0.326
Mean personal income0.305
Divorced/separated/widowed0.304
Working as a professional0.296
Personal income $50,000-$70,0000.282
Voting NZ Outdoors Party 20200.277
Voting Labour 20200.275
Master’s degree0.270
Aged 40-440.265
Median personal income0.261
Percentage of voting age population enrolled0.259
Working in rental, hiring or real estate services0.250
Working in professional, scientific or technical services0.246
Following Judaism0.222
Working in agriculture, forestry or fishing0.202
Bachelor’s degree0.197
Working in arts or recreation services0.194
Working in other services0.192
Personal income $20,000-$30,0000.162
Working in public administration or safety0.156
Working in mining0.138
Working in healthcare or social assistance0.117
Voting New Zealand First 20200.101
Employed full-time0.097
Working in financial or insurance services0.088
Voting Heartland NZ 20200.061
Working in accommodation or food services0.054
Percentage of females in electorate0.044
Working in retail trade0.039
Percentage of electorate overseas-born0.032
Working in education or training0.030
Working in information media or telecommunications0.028
Working as a technician or trades worker0.014
Level 1 certificate0.010
Not in the labour force0.006
No children-0.026
Voting ONE Party 2020-0.032
Percentage of electorate New Zealand-born-0.032
Working in construction-0.035
Percentage of males in electorate-0.044
Aged 35-39-0.069
Part time study-0.080
Living in an urban electorate-0.093
Working in electricity, gas, water or waste services-0.094
Level 2 certificate-0.095
Level 4 certificate-0.099
Following Buddhism-0.100
Receiving income from ACC or private work insurance-0.126
Working as a clerical or administrative worker-0.139
Aged 30-34-0.154
Voting Advance NZ 2020-0.161
Special voting Yes for cannabis-0.169
Receiving wage or salary-0.187
Personal income $30,000-$50,000-0.188
Asian-0.198
Following Christianity-0.198
Four children-0.213
Receiving income from Student Allowance-0.215
Aged 25-29-0.231
Personal income $10,000-$20,000-0.234
Voting TEA Party 2020-0.238
Level 5 diploma-0.252
Aged 20-24-0.259
Following Hinduism-0.290
Working in wholesale trade-0.295
Working as a labourer-0.299
No NZQA qualifications-0.301
Following Islam-0.320
Living in a North Island electorate-0.326
Working as a community or personal services worker-0.326
Working as a sales worker-0.352
One child-0.385
Receiving income from Supported Living Payment-0.386
Working in manufacturing-0.404
Personal income $5,000-$10,000-0.432
Level 3 certificate-0.487
Voting ALCP 2020-0.524
Never married-0.538
Currently unpartnered-0.572
Five children-0.580
Object to answering how many children-0.590
Full time study-0.611
Working as a machinery operator or driver-0.614
Following a Maori religion-0.620
Pacific Islander-0.628
Working in administrative or support services-0.664
Maori-0.666
Voting Vision NZ Party 2020-0.677
Receiving no source of income-0.688
Enrolled in a Maori electorate-0.690
Voting Maori Party 2020-0.690
Working in transport, postal or warehousing-0.692
Personal income < $5,000-0.701
Six or more children-0.739
Receiving income from Jobseeker Support-0.744
Receiving income from Sole Parent Support-0.771
Unemployed-0.774
Neither ownership of house nor house in family trust-0.786

*

This article is an excerpt from the upcoming 3rd Edition of Understanding New Zealand, by Dan McGlashan and published by VJM Publishing. Understanding New Zealand is the comprehensive guide to the demographics and voting patterns of the New Zealand people.