A Grand Coalition Might Happen After The 2023 New Zealand General Election

A recent Horizon Poll found that combined support for Labournational has now fallen to less than 61%, the lowest ever. Never before have Kiwis had less confidence in the two biggest parties. The electoral ramifications of this fall in support are major.

The mathematics of building a ruling coalition are simple, but are becoming more complex. According to the Horizon poll, Labour and the Greens together would win 61 seats with almost 40% of the vote. National and ACT together would win only 54 seats, with the Maori Party taking five. This would mean that Labour and the Greens could govern by themselves.

Complicating matters is the unprecedented level of support for the parties currently outside Parliament.

New Zealand First polled at 4.8%, which means that they are on the verge of overcoming the 5% threshold. They have been rising rapidly since 12 months ago, when they were polling around 2-3%. In fact, if one removes the undecided voters from the Horizon poll, New Zealand First gets 5.3% of the remainder.

Should New Zealand First poll over 5% in the general election in October, they will win at least seven seats. Assuming they don’t go with Labour again – New Zealand First Leader Winston Peters having ruled this out – they will probably go with National, which would give the National-ACT-NZF coalition 58 seats.

Labour and Greens, in such a scenario, would have 57 seats, and would therefore need The Maori Party’s five in order to govern.

There are more complications in the form of The Opportunities Party (TOP) and DemocracyNZ. TOP polled at 2.8% in the Horizon poll, which means they’re closer to the 5% threshold than not. Almost as many of the polled voters supported “Another party”, which means that DemocracyNZ could be close to 2% support as well.

If either TOP or DemocracyNZ scored over 5% in the general election, forming a 61-seat coalition would become much more complicated.

Labour doesn’t really want to work with The Maori Party, for the obvious reason that The Maori Party are insane. A Labour-Greens-Maori Party coalition would be a nightmare of infighting. The unreasonableness of people like Rawiri Waititi would make stability impossible.

However, National doesn’t really want to work with New Zealand First either. New Zealand First may have fallen out with Labour, but that doesn’t make them great friends with National. New Zealand First are still primarily nationalist, which puts them in direct conflict with National’s globalist plunderer mindset. Peters and ACT Leader David Seymour are well known to despise each other.

This raises a possibility that some dare not whisper: Labour and National might go with each other.

A Labour and National grand coalition would send a shockwave through the New Zealand political scene. All Kiwis have been conditioned to see Labour and National as implacable enemies and two opposite poles of the political spectrum. For them to team up would force a mass change of perspective on New Zealand.

However, there is precedent for it, if not from New Zealand. Germany’s Angela Merkel was thrice involved in a grand coalition between her conservative CDU party and the social democratic SPD. In all three instances, the primary stated reason for this was keeping “extremists” out of power.

Labournational could easily make a similar justification, claiming that New Zealand First and The Maori Party were both ethnonationalist extremists. If they did, they’d have the full support of the globalist media, who would be more than happy to demonise anyone suspicious of globalism.

A grand coalition in which Chris Hipkins was the external face (dealing with the media and public) and Chris Luxon was the internal face (dealing with management), would make a lot of sense. It would mean the personable Hipkins could keep public sentiments under control, while the unpopular Luxon kept the grand coalition itself under control.

There are two major reasons why a grand coalition might not happen.

The first is pragmatic: a grand coalition would enable a party like New Zealand First to become the main opposition. If they did, they would mostly criticise the globalist establishment, which would see support for Labournational fall even further. It makes more sense for Labournational to trade opposition status between Labour and National, and thereby minimise the influence of the minor parties.

The second is more sinister: both Labour and National want to keep up the illusion that the voters actually have some choice. This is best achieved by them taking turns at ruling. If they would combine, people would realise – when nothing changed – that parliamentary democracy is just a massive scam. Their wealth and privilege depends on keeping up the charade that Kiwis have a say in their own governance.

One thing is certain: a grand coalition would make clear that it’s them against us.

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Orwell’s Three Blocs: A 2023 Perspective

In the (supposedly) fantasy world of George Orwell’s 1984, geopolitical life is divided into three major blocs.

The only one we see in the story world is Oceania, home of protagonist Winston Smith. This consists of Britain, the Americas, Southern Africa, Australia and Oceania. This bloc is always at peace with one of the two other blocs, and always at war with the other.

The other two blocs are Eurasia, which roughly means Europe plus all of Russia and parts of Central Asia, and Eastasia, which roughly means China, Japan, Korea and parts of South East Asia.

Inbetween each of the blocs is a contested zone that is essentially no-man’s land. In the story world of 1984 there is one such zone between Oceania and Eurasia, and one such zone between Oceania and Eastasia (there are others, but only the ones referring to Oceania are mentioned in the book).

1984 was published in 1949, almost three-quarters of a century ago. It has proven incredibly prescient, because if one looks around the world today it appears very similar to the then-future world described by Orwell.

Oceania is today’s Anglo-Judaic Empire, i.e. Britain and most of the former British Empire. Unlike in 1984, the Oceania equivalent today includes Japan and Korea.

Eurasia is today’s Russia. In 1984, Eurasia is Russia plus a conquered Europe. In today’s world, of course, Russia has shown little ability to conquer Europe. Perhaps they have the will, but the ability is another thing.

Eastasia is today’s China plus North Korea. In 1984, Eastasia included Japan, South Korea and some of South East Asia. At the moment, those areas are Oceanian territory. But if the Chinese waged a lightning war at some point in the future, they could conceivably take them over.

Already one combat zone is active on the border between Oceania and Eurasia (The European Union is effectively territory held by Oceania for now), in Ukraine. This zone might drift westward such that Oceania gets pushed back to the British Isles. If it did, it would be exactly like Orwell’s prediction.

Even if Orwell’s prediction wasn’t geographically accurate, it’s still temporally accurate. In 1984, it turns out that wars are supposed to go on forever, specifically because this wastes resources, because if resources are not wasted then people have time to think about their situation and that leads them to rebel against the government.

On the Oceania/Eurasia border in today’s world, Russia and Ukraine also seem to be fighting such a forever war. Even though Western countries are spending tens of billions on arming Ukraine, the front lines move very little. Both sides have been fighting over one town, Bakhmut, for seven months straight. So little has happened in 15 months, it’s easy to imagine the two might still be at war in 15 years.

Many are predicting that we will soon see a second combat zone, in South East Asia. China has been ramping up military activity in the South China Sea in recent years, and an American Air Force General named Michael Minihan has predicted that America will be at war with China within two years. A forever war in the South China Sea could easily begin soon.

This has complications for us, seeing as we are a de facto (if not de jure) American ally, and this makes us a potential target from China’s perspective. Being part of Oceania, we’re someone that Eastasia might bomb if we get drawn into conflict against each other.

The third combat zone appears to be be Iran and the Middle East. This one has also been brewing for a while, with John McCain and Hillary Clinton both cheerleading for bombing Iran to protect Israel. Iran’s development of nuclear weapons technology is a clear existential threat to their sworn enemies Israel, and both countries lie in the disputed area between the three blocs.

Other potential combat zones in the near future are India vs. China (in the Himalayas) or Ethiopia vs. Egypt and Sudan (over the Great Ethiopian Renaissance Dam). If some or all of these other combat zones became as hot as the ongoing War in Ukraine, our world would look extremely similar to Orwell’s prediction.

It’s necessary to note that Orwell didn’t really predict these things – he knew about them from what other members of the ruling class said to him, because it’s been a ruling class plan for a very long time. Going all the way back to Babylon, the ruling class has always dreamed of a system where they could divide and conquer the masses to such an extent that it was impossible to overthrow them.

This explains why Orwell was able to predict so accurately the world of 2023, with its three major blocs and an equatorial disputed zone.

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VJMP Anzac Day Address 2023: The Inevitability Of Federalisation

Many New Zealanders were pleased by the recent news that Kiwis living in Australia will be able to apply for citizenship after four years. This marks a significant change from the status quo, under which a Kiwi could live in Australia for 20 years without being able to vote or access healthcare. Few realise, though, that the move is another step towards federalisation.

The last time I travelled overseas was some years ago. While in the Auckland Airport departure lounge, I saw some t-shirts for sale that said simply “Yeah nah”. This phrase – yeah nah – is seldom used in Britain or North America and is therefore an iconic expression of Kiwi culture. Or so I thought.

The next leg of the journey saw me in the Sydney Airport departure lounge, where they were also selling t-shirts that said “Yeah nah”. It turned out that this phrase is used so frequently in Australia that it’s considered by Australians to be an iconic expression of their culture.

New Zealand culture is Australasian culture. There are aspects of culture that are unique to New Zealand and not shared with Australia, but those are as minor as the aspects of culture unique to, say, California and not shared with Ohio. For the most part, idiosyncracies that Kiwis consider uniquely Kiwi are in fact shared across Australasia.

These idiosyncracies are set to become even more shared with the new citizenship protocols. Until now, Kiwis had endured a kind of second-class status with several restrictions. Now they will be first-class citizens after only four years – a privilege not afforded to most nationalities, who will have to slog through the permanent residency process.

Some have complained that the new Australian citizenship rules will lead to an intensification of the brain drain from New Zealand. This is probably true. Some claim that this will lead to the Third Worldification of New Zealand as our productive workforce all leaves for higher wages. This is possibly true – but it depends on the future of Trans-Tasman relations.

The new citizenship rules will reduce the legal distinctions between Australian and New Zealand citizens. Eventually people will ask themselves: if Kiwis can freely move to Aussie and can become citizens with a minimum of effort, and vice-versa for Aussies, why even bother having separate systems? Why not just become one Anzac Republic – Anzacistan?

It’s already the case that many young Kiwis studying in New Zealand intend to move to Australia as soon as they are qualified. This is fine from Australia’s point of view, as they get educated additions to their workforce. It’s very bad from New Zealand’s point of view, as their taxpayers pay for 13-18 years’ education only to not get any benefit from the greater productivity.

If New Zealand became a state of Australia, it would mean that Australian tax money also be used to pay for the education of Kiwis. No longer would Kiwi taxpayers fund the Australian workforce to their own detriment. If the Third Worldification of New Zealand can be prevented through federalisation, then both sides would be foolish not to agree to it, given the strategic considerations of New Zealand’s impoverishment.

Such a move is possibly inevitable anyway, given that we are only separate countries due to a historical fluke: The Mistake of 1901. The decision to even be separate countries in the first place was the result of erroneous thinking, in particular the belief that the 2,000km between New Zealand and Australia represented a vast gulf, akin to the distance between Italy and Tunisia.

In reality, the cultural difference between New Zealand and Australia is minuscule. A person can fly from Christchurch to Perth, a distance of over 5,000km, and will find most things in their new city familiar. Dress, mannerisms, architecture, popular brands and culture: all very similar. They can even find a thriving rugby union scene.

Few countries in the world have this degree of cultural homogeneity among regions at their opposite ends. Yet Australia and New Zealand have this, and are not one country. Why? Without referring to The Mistake of 1901, no logical explanation can be given. It seems to have been assumed that we would grow apart, like England and Ireland perhaps, but instead we grew together.

It’s time to accept that our forefathers, who predicted divergent evolution, were wrong. The cultures and peoples of New Zealand and Australia have, in fact, evolved convergently over the last 120 years. To understand this is to accept that federalisation is inevitable.

There are already some 670,000 Kiwis living in Australia. Now that this cohort can easily access Australian citizenship, and given that dual Kiwi-Aussie citizenship is already possible, the thin dividing lines between Kiwis and Aussies will get even thinner.

If federalisation is inevitable, it’s time to stop worrying about what rights Kiwis should have in Australia, and it’s time to start worrying about the terms under which New Zealand would accede to Australian statehood.

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VJMP Predicts 2023

As another year in Clown World ends, many are casting their mind forwards to the future. VJM Publishing has taken it upon ourselves to bring the light of edification to the Anglosphere masses, in opposition to the great stupifying force that is the mainstream media. To that end, we offer some ideas on what might happen in 2023.

The general prediction is that basically everything will get worse, save for a few things. And those few things will be subtle and not appreciated by all.

The area that we can be most confident will decline is the economy. Everyone is predicting a recession for 2023. Recession appears inevitable to most people, given that interest rates have risen sharply across the world in 2022, and that most countries and individuals were heavily burdened with debt before the rise. Maximum debt plus maximum interest rates equals maximum bankruptcies and maximum pain.

On top of the macroeconomic trends, we can also expect high consumer inflation next year. Electricity and food prices have risen sharply in Europe in 2022, and we can expect this to continue into 2023 now that Emmanuel Macron has signalled “The end of the age of abundance.” We won’t see Weimar conditions next year, but we will edge towards them.

Most ominous are the signs of the world continuing to split into the three territories predicted by Orwell in 1984. The Ukraine war has already divided the world into a Oceania (Western) bloc versus a Eurasian bloc. All that remains is for China to fall out with Russia, and to carve a sphere of influence for themselves, and to call it Eastasia.

The mainstream media of 2023 will continue to create the impression that megadeath in nuclear hellfire is imminent. In reality, the true threats to our well-being will be increasingly precarious housing, medical care (especially mental health care) and employment. In other words, the adverse microeconomic trends of recent decades will continue.

Life quality will also decline when it comes to surveillance technology, in particular facial recognition technology. Predictably, this tech will be marketed to us as necessary to keep us safe, but in reality will be used to monitor and harass dissidents. Artificial intelligence will also play an increasing role in identifying wrongthinkers.

The economic maladies will contribute to an ongoing collapse in social cohesion. In urban areas all over the Anglosphere, the atmosphere will become more desperate and nasty. Main street shoppers will find themselves subject to more aggressive panhandling, and public drug use and sexual displays will become more common.

2023 will bring us more and more videos of people beating the shit out of each other in public. The collective IQ will continue to decline from the degeneration of social media, combined with decades of dysgenic breeding. Pointing out that society resembles Idiocracy will become a cliche. Reading books will become a core part of the counterculture.

Television, in contrast to books, will become extremely unfashionable, the preserve of Boomers on their way out. Boomers themselves will become openly hated. Whether justified or not (and it mostly is), Boomers will start taking the blame for every aspect of Clown World.

Trust will reach all-time lows. Already, at the end of 2022, there is almost zero trust for politicians and journalists. This will spread to other professions traditionally considered trustworthy, such as professors and doctors. The ability of mainstream media to manufacture trust in authority figures will decline. This will lead to rapidly increasing support for the alternative media.

Social isolation will become more common, especially among young men. Escapism in the form of screen time will increase (where it’s still possible). Social media will continue to replace other forms of socialisation, and it will become increasingly toxic. Smart people will deliberately remove themselves from FaceBook, Twitter and Reddit.

Despite all this doom and gloom, there are a few good reasons to be optimistic. The Fifth Hermetic Principle, a.k.a. The Law of Rhythm, tells us that even as most things get bad, pressure rises on certain other things to become good. Although we can expect things to get worse in physical and emotional realms, the forecast is that improvements will come in spiritual areas.

Increasing acceptance of traditional spiritual sacraments such as cannabis and psilocybin suggests that a new spiritual age is dawning. We predict a revival of the prisca theologia, the perennial philosophy of which there is a multitude of religious expressions. Small groups of dedicated spiritual seekers will form, away from the oversight of the nihilistic masses.

These small groups will explore incredible, far-reaching new realities. Eventually they will start to join together in order to influence the human race as a whole, away from the darkness of ignorance and towards the light of theognosis. The observed effect of this action, however, will remain subtle throughout 2023.

In summary, most things will get worse for most people, but there is still plenty of good energy coming our way.

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