Correlations With Voting National 2020

VariableVoting National in 2020
Voting ACT 20200.922
Married (not separated)0.857
Currently partnered0.814
Own house in family trust0.813
Two children0.810
Level 6 diploma0.798
Working as a manager0.780
Receiving income from self-employment or owning one’s own business0.743
Receiving income from interest, dividends, rent, other investments0.713
Aged 60-640.696
Aged 75-790.694
Turnout rate0.692
Aged 50-540.685
Voting New Conservative 20200.682
Aged 70-740.678
Aged 55-590.668
Aged 65-690.666
Aged 80-840.661
Not studying0.650
Receiving income from NZ Super or Veteran’s pension0.638
Aged 85+0.629
Aged 45-490.584
Own or part own house0.564
Working in rental, hiring or real estate services0.539
European0.525
Voting Sustainable NZ 20200.500
Three children0.457
Median age0.418
Personal income $70,000+0.406
Percentage of voting age population enrolled0.398
Mean age0.388
Personal income $50,000-$70,0000.324
Employed part-time0.266
Working in agriculture, forestry or fishing0.248
Mean personal income0.243
Divorced/separated/widowed0.242
Percentage of electorate overseas-born0.235
Median personal income0.231
Aged 40-440.221
Voting TEA Party 20200.206
Voting NZ Outdoors Party 20200.204
Honours degree0.200
Not in the labour force0.199
Voting Social Credit 20200.193
Working in wholesale trade0.172
Following Judaism0.169
Special voting Yes for euthanasia0.168
Working in professional, scientific or technical services0.166
Bachelor’s degree0.162
Following no religion0.156
Voting Heartland NZ 20200.135
Working in mining0.133
Working in other services0.129
Working in retail trade0.120
Following Buddhism0.118
Working in financial or insurance services0.114
Master’s degree0.111
Voting The Opportunities Party 20200.105
Following Christianity0.102
Working as a professional0.088
Asian0.074
Doctorate0.072
Voting New Zealand First 20200.068
Working in construction0.068
Personal income $20,000-$30,0000.066
Working as a technician or trades worker0.053
Level 1 certificate0.044
Employed full-time0.035
Percentage of females in electorate0.021
Level 5 diploma0.006
Working as a clerical or administrative worker-0.006
Percentage of males in electorate-0.021
Enrolled in a North Island electorate-0.031
Aged 35-39-0.045
Level 4 certificate-0.047
Working in healthcare or social assistance-0.070
Enrolled in an urban electorate-0.079
Working in electricity, gas, water or waste services-0.099
Working in manufacturing-0.100
One child-0.105
Four children-0.106
Working in arts or recreation services-0.109
Working in information media or telecommunications-0.126
Level 2 certificate-0.129
Voting Advance NZ 2020-0.130
Working in education or training-0.132
Following Hinduism-0.138
Personal income $30,000-$50,000-0.146
Following Spiritualism or a New Age religion-0.159
Voting Labour 2020-0.160
Voting Greens 2020-0.162
Voting ONE Party 2020-0.174
Working as a sales worker-0.180
Receiving income from ACC or private work insurance-0.183
Working in accommodation or food services-0.191
Following Islam-0.194
No NZQA qualifications-0.217
Percentage of electorate New Zealand-born-0.235
Aged 30-34-0.253
Working in public administration or safety-0.259
Receiving no source of income-0.282
Personal income $10,000-$20,000-0.286
Working as a labourer-0.291
No children-0.337
Aged 25-29-0.391
Working as a machinery operator or driver-0.425
Personal income < $5,000-0.450
Five children-0.450
Pacific Islander-0.458
Receiving wage or salary-0.465
Receiving income from Student Allowance-0.479
Aged 20-24-0.484
Special voting Yes for cannabis-0.494
Part-time study-0.499
Working in transport, postal or warehousing-0.516
Following a Maori religion-0.543
Object to answering how many children-0.573
Personal income $5,000-$10,000-0.575
Working in administrative or support services-0.583
Six or more children-0.589
Voting ALCP 2020-0.597
Voting Vision NZ Party 2020-0.601
Working as a community or personal services worker-0.612
Full-time study-0.634
Maori-0.651
Receiving income from Supported Living Payment-0.659
Level 3 certificate-0.683
Enrolled in a Maori electorate-0.705
Voting Maori Party 2020-0.709
Receiving income from Sole Parent Support-0.754
Neither ownership of house nor house in family trust-0.754
Receiving income from Jobseeker Support-0.759
Currently unpartnered-0.814
Unemployed-0.820
Never married-0.839

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This article is an excerpt from the upcoming 3rd Edition of Understanding New Zealand, by Dan McGlashan and published by VJM Publishing. Understanding New Zealand is the comprehensive guide to the demographics and voting patterns of the New Zealand people.

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